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Surprise Attack: The Victim's Perspective [Formato Kindle]

Ephraim Kam , Thomas C. Schelling

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Descrizione prodotto


A new version of this book is now available.

The striking thing about surprise attack is how frequently it succeeds--even in our own day, when improvements in communications and intelligence gathering should make it extremly difficult to sneak up on anyone. Ephraim Kam observes surprise attack through the eyes of its victim in order to understand the causes of the victim's failure to to anticipate the coming war.

Kam analyzes eleven major surprise attacks that have been launched since the outbreak of World War II (by no means the only ones that occured), starting with the German invasion of Denmark and Norway in 1940 and ending with the Eyptian-Syrian attack on Isreal in 1973, in a systematic comparative effort to find the elements that successful sorties have in common. He tackles the problem on four levels: the individual analyst, the small group, the large organization, and the decision makers.

Emphasizing the psychological aspects of warfare, Kam traces the behavior of the victim at various functional levels and from several points of view in order to examine the difficulties, mistakes, and idées fixes that permit a nation to be taken by surprise. He argues that anticipation and prediction of a coming war are more complicated than any other issue of strategic estimation, involving such interdependent factors as analytical contradictions, judgmental biases, organizational obstacles, and political as well as military constraints.

Dettagli prodotto

  • Formato: Formato Kindle
  • Dimensioni file: 3247 KB
  • Lunghezza stampa: 288
  • Editore: Harvard University Press; 1 edizione (15 novembre 1988)
  • Venduto da: Amazon Media EU S.à r.l.
  • Lingua: Inglese
  • ASIN: B002R5BAGY
  • Da testo a voce: Abilitato
  • X-Ray:
  • Word Wise: Abilitato
  • Posizione nella classifica Bestseller di Amazon: #8.123 a pagamento nel Kindle Store (Visualizza i Top 100 a pagamento nella categoria Kindle Store)

Recensioni clienti

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Le recensioni clienti più utili su Amazon.com (beta)
Amazon.com: 4.2 su 5 stelle  5 recensioni
3 di 3 persone hanno trovato utile la seguente recensione
4.0 su 5 stelle THE book on strategic surprise 11 novembre 2005
Di E. M. Van Court - Pubblicato su Amazon.com
Formato:Copertina flessibile
Kam's book is the definative work on strategic surprise. Using historical examples (focusing on the incidents of strategic in the twentieth century, and yes, he gets them all) with qualitative and quantitative analysis of all the incidents, Kam clearly illustrates the causes and effects of strategic surprise.

Each cause of surprise is clearly illustrated with historical example, usually multiple examples. The set of causes for surprise that Kam developed is comprehensive and provides an excellent starting point for serious consideration of how to develop indications and warnings against future surprise attacks. This book also provides a thorough framework for dissecting surprise attacks not covered in the text.

It is a bit dry and pedantic, but the material is so relevant to world events and his case is so clearly made that this shortcoming can be overlooked.

This one is a "must read" for any serious student of national security, and political or military science.
1 di 1 persone hanno trovato utile la seguente recensione
5.0 su 5 stelle Outstanding! 29 maggio 2006
Di Rodger Shepherd - Pubblicato su Amazon.com
Formato:Copertina flessibile|Acquisto verificato
This is a very systematic, thorough, and balanced discussion of the problems of recognizing a surprise attack before it happens. The material is well-organized and very logically presented. The writing is clear but compact and definitely requires the reader's concentration. However, the information and perspective to be gained from reading the book are worth the effort. This book should be read by every student of intelligence assessments and by every Pearl Harbor "buff".
5 di 7 persone hanno trovato utile la seguente recensione
5.0 su 5 stelle Military History Student 7 maggio 2000
Di Un cliente - Pubblicato su Amazon.com
Formato:Copertina rigida
This is the best book I've seen on the failures of intelligence and operational planing. Kam goes into equisit detail about the psychological factors relating to suprise attack. His unique prespective from that of the victim lends credibility to his arguments and provides an excellent forum for truly learning the lessons needed to be learned in avoiding strategic surprise in the future.
5.0 su 5 stelle Five Stars 23 settembre 2014
Di Troy and Jenny Clements - Pubblicato su Amazon.com
Formato:Copertina flessibile
I got what was promised.
0 di 2 persone hanno trovato utile la seguente recensione
2.0 su 5 stelle Once the horse is dead, aren't you supposed to stop beating it? 9 luglio 2013
Di Strong Oak - Pubblicato su Amazon.com
Formato:Formato Kindle|Acquisto verificato
Same information stated different ways on and on and on and on and on....in adfintium...... in adnauseum....... Good information. Somewhat dated. It's interesting how Kam and Heuer are supposed to be these great intelligence geniuses - experts on coming threats no one else sees; yet neither one of them predicted some guys smacking a plane into the WTC even though a group of almost identical ideology (GIA) tried to do the same thing to the Eiffel Tower just a few years before. Perhaps they needed to read their own advice.

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